随着4小时图上的下跌趋势持续，澳元兑加元汇率滑向0.98024
AUD/CAD grinds toward the 0.98024 support shelf with the 4H trend pointing down and price locked below all three EMAs; sellers stay in control while 0.98497 caps rallies.
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核心要點
- 4H trend is down; prior levels above 0.98497 have all broken and flipped to supply.
- AUD/CAD has shed over 1% on the week, compressing into a tight range near session lows.
- EMA20 at 0.98497 caps rallies; a daily close above it invalidates the bearish setup.
澳元兑加元（AUD/CAD）正缓慢走低，市场对反弹的意愿微弱，这种行情往往会让耐心做空的投资者获利，而让过早做多的投资者蒙受损失。
该货币对今日小幅走软，过去一周累计跌幅超过1%，盘中波动区间紧缩在0.981075至0.98234之间。 此次走势并未受到任何重大消息的驱动；这完全是技术面主导的下行趋势，此前位于0.98497区域上方的一系列关键水平位已被接连突破，并转为阻力位。
从动量角度看，当前走势呈看跌态势。价格位于20日EMA（0.98497）、50日EMA（0.98680）和200日EMA（0.98695）下方，整套EMA指标均已转为利空。 4小时图趋势为下行，趋势方向虽未完全明确但整体偏空，RSI指标正逼近超卖区域，但尚未显示反转信号。波动率平稳，在下跌趋势中这意味着跌势尚在可控范围内，而非已耗尽动能。已突破的支撑位与EMA集群下方收窄的波动区间共同作用，表明行情更可能延续下行而非迅速反弹。
我们计划在反弹至0.98234–0.98497区间时做空，该区域因当日高点与EMA20的汇聚而形成天然阻力位。首个目标位是0.98024支撑平台；若跌破该位，0.97692将打开下行空间。 若日线收盘价高于0.98497，则该看跌判断失效，表明市场已获得真正的买盘支撑。
本内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议、推荐或买卖任何金融产品的要约。交易存在重大风险。过往表现不代表未来结果。
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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