交易洞察
analysis · · 1 分鐘閱讀

随着跌势延续,澳元兑加元汇率向0.97692支撑位回落

AUD/CAD continues its week-long descent with trend aligned lower on 1H and 4H and price pressing toward the 0.97692 support shelf; we sell rallies into the EMA stack while that level holds.

Hafizah Rina, Senior Trading Analyst
作者

Trading analyst covering macro, equities, and digital assets. Focused on systematic risk frameworks and disciplined entries.

随着跌势延续,澳元兑加元汇率向0.97692支撑位回落
Live Chart
AUDCAD
Drag to pan, scroll to zoom, click the toolbar for indicators & drawings.

核心要點

  • No macro catalyst needed — the weekly downtrend of -1.43% is doing the work.
  • Price trades below EMA20, EMA50 and EMA200, with trend aligned lower on short timeframes.
  • 0.97692 is the key support; a daily close below it opens the door to 0.9742.

澳元兑加元(AUD/CAD)正坚定地持续走低,而上方堆积的指数移动平均线(EMA)令任何有意义的反弹尝试都难以成行。

该货币对过去一周累计下跌约1.43%,盘中波动区间为0.976855至0.981275,随后回落至当前水平附近,当日进一步下跌0.28%。 此次走势背后并无具体的新闻催化因素;卖压主要源于技术面因素,且与上周的走势一致——当时多个支撑位接连被突破。

市场结构呈现明确的看跌态势。价格位于20日均线(0.98272)、50日均线(0.98529)和200日均线(0.98660)下方——完整的看跌技术形态已形成。 1小时和4小时图表上的趋势均呈下行态势,这强化了动能信号。相对强弱指数(RSI)处于超卖区域,这预示着可能出现空头回补反弹,但仅凭这一点尚不足以证明趋势将逆转;在持续的下跌趋势中,超卖状态可能长期维持。 波动率保持平稳,表明此次下行走势是有序的而非恐慌性的,首个重要支撑位位于0.97692。

我们将关注任何反弹至0.98272–0.98336区间的卖出机会,该区间是20日EMA与首个阻力位的汇聚点。若日线收盘价高于0.98529的50日EMA,则看跌格局失效,需重新评估。

本内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议、推荐或买卖任何金融产品的要约。交易存在重大风险。过往表现不代表未来结果。

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

相關文章