AUD/CAD 滑向 0.98024 支撑位,下跌趋势保持
AUD/CAD continues its week-long drift lower, trading near 0.98116 with the 4H trend still pointed down and price sitting below all three EMAs; we sell rallies while 0.98461 caps.
Trading analyst covering macro, equities, and digital assets. Focused on systematic risk frameworks and disciplined entries.
核心要点
- No macro catalyst has emerged to interrupt the week-long AUD/CAD downtrend.
- Price trades below all three EMAs, with the 4H trend still pointing lower.
- 0.98461 EMA20 is the invalidation line; a close above it suspends the bearish thesis.
AUD/CAD 以平缓、不急不躁的方式向下运动,趋势跟随交易台已经学会不要轻视这种走势。
该货币对本周下跌超过 1%,周三交易日将价格走势限制在 0.98023 至 0.98273 的区间内。没有新闻催化剂推动该走势;相反,这反映了加元持续走强,而澳元已失去近期的买盘支持。该货币对现在已下跌至今日低位,并在近期区间的下边缘试探。
结构性走势强化了看空倾向。价格位于 EMA20 的 0.98461 下方、EMA50 的 0.98658 下方和 EMA200 的 0.98689 下方,EMA 堆积本身处于压缩状态,表明长期缓慢下行而非急剧反转。趋势排列在不同时间框架上呈现混合信号,但 4H 仍指向下行,这是该设置的主要时间框架。RSI 接近超卖区域但尚未完全进入该区域,波动率平静,与缓慢下跌而非溃散式下行一致。先前的走势显示 0.98666 被向下突破,现在充当顶部阻力,近期支撑位位于 0.98024。
我们倾向于做空,并在 0.98273 至 0.98461 区间内逢反弹做空。日线收盘在 EMA20 的 0.98461 上方将使该策略无效,并表明市场试图筑底。
本內容僅供參考,不構成投資建議、推薦或買賣任何金融產品的要約。交易存在重大風險。過往表現不代表未來結果。
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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