澳元/加元跌向0.97705，熊市趨勢延續
AUD/CAD continues its week-long descent, trading below all three key EMAs with 1H and 4H trends both pointing lower; we sell rallies into 0.98026 while 0.97705 is the next downside target.
Trading analyst covering macro, equities, and digital assets. Focused on systematic risk frameworks and disciplined entries.
核心要点
- Bear trend is aligned on 1H and 4H with no macro catalyst needed to extend it.
- AUD/CAD has shed over 1.2% on the week, pressing toward the 0.97705 support shelf.
- Daily close above 0.98026 invalidates the bearish setup and forces reassessment.
澳元/加元堅定地走低，盤面上暫無跡象顯示反轉已近。
該貨幣對過去一週下跌超過1.2%，現交易於日線區間下端，日線區間跨度為0.97766至0.980855。0.97963支撐位——在上一交易時段曾短暫守住——已被破位，留下0.97705作為下一個關鍵買盤水準。宏觀面沒有新的催化劑推動此舉；這是純粹的趨勢延續。
從動量角度看，結構清晰。價格遠低於EMA20（0.98355）、EMA50（0.98620）和EMA200（0.98517），這些均現已作為分層阻力發揮作用，確認賣方主導該區間。1小時和4小時趨勢均指向下行，而日線保持中性，導致整體趨勢同向性混合。RSI深陷超賣區域，值得標註：在跟蹤趨勢的交易台上，下跌趨勢中的超賣信號動量而非疲憊，我們傾向於這一解讀。波動率處於正常水準，使盤中噪音可控。
我們在0.97963至0.98026阻力區域內做反彈賣盤。48小時目標為0.97705，0.97498為次級目標。日線收盤高於0.98026無效該交易並信號修正在吸收供應。
本內容僅供參考,不構成投資建議、推薦或買賣任何金融產品的要約。交易存在重大風險。過往表現不代表未來結果。
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.