USD/JPY 持穩 160.51，升勢目標 160.718 供應
USD/JPY consolidates near 160.51 with trend aligned up across all timeframes and three prior support levels cleared; dips into 160.302–160.507 stay buys while EMA50 holds.
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核心要点
- Trend stack aligned up across 1H/4H/1D; prior supports at 159.79 and 159.48 cleared.
- Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50; RSI firm but not overextended, room to run.
- EMA50 at 160.02025 is hard invalidation; above it the bullish structure stays intact.
USD/JPY 在週線區間頂部整固，已突破三個連續阻力位，目前瞄準圖表上唯一的供應帶 160.718。
該對在過去一週上升超過 0.33%，依次突破 159.10782、159.4775 和 159.788，隨後在週二狹窄的 160.49 至 160.5635 區間內整固。沒有新聞催化劑打亂既有趨勢，純粹動能掌控局面。
從趨勢跟蹤角度看，設置乾淨利索。價格舒適地持在 EMA20（160.30185）上方，EMA50（160.02025）上方，短期均線整齊堆疊在長期支撐 EMA200（158.72764）之上。1H、4H 和日線時間框架的趨勢無一例外地向上對齐。RSI 處於看漲區間但未過度伸展，在動能成為制約因素前有繼續上升的空間。波動率平靜，降低了 160.718 阻力測試前止損掃蕩的風險。此前的看漲偏向在每次回撤時都得到重申，盤面論證指向更多相同走勢。
我們傾向做多，在 160.302–160.507 入場區間買進回檔，該區間為 EMA20 與最近的日內低點匯聚處。日線收盤跌破 EMA50（160.02025）將使結構失效，強制對看漲情景進行完整重估。
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