歐元兌美元研磨至盤中低點,下跌趨勢保持穩固
EUR/USD extends its week-long slide with trend aligned down across all timeframes and a string of broken levels converted to resistance; we sell rallies into EMA20 at 1.13967 while 1.14386 caps.
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核心要点
- Trend aligned down across 1H/4H/1D; no catalysts in the window to reverse the flow.
- EUR/USD trades near the session low of 1.13477, extending a week-long slide of ~0.9%.
- EMA20 at 1.13967 is the first offer zone; 1.14386 caps and invalidates on a close.
歐元兌美元給賣方沒有理由退場,持續深入數週前還是堅實需求區的領域。
歐元過去一週已下跌近0.9%,留下一系列曾經支撐位轉換為供應的蹤跡。今日該交易對在盤中低點1.134765附近,較日高1.13604下跌,消息面沒有任何中斷這種下跌趨勢。先前的1.15541、1.14799和1.14386水位在下跌過程中已全部突破,現在代表上方分層阻力。
從趨勢跟隨的角度來看,設置是毫不含糊的。三個時間框架都呈現向下趨勢,EMA20在1.13967,EMA50在1.14585,EMA200在1.15878,堆疊在價格上方形成幹淨的看跌序列。阻力位於1.14386、1.14799和1.15541,每一個都是該交易對已經放棄的先前樞紐點。波動性平靜,意味著這種走勢是有序的而非耗盡的,趨勢跟隨框架獎勵隨著流向而行動。RSI處於極度超賣狀態,這保證了新進場時需要規模紀律,但在持續的下跌趨勢中,超賣條件傾向於在反轉前向下解決。
我們傾向於做空並在1.13967至1.14386區間賣出反彈。日線收盤價高於1.14386會迫使重新評估並使看跌結構失效。
本內容僅供參考,不構成投資建議、推薦或買賣任何金融產品的要約。交易存在重大風險。過往表現不代表未來結果。
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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