交易洞察
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歐元兌美元研磨至盤中低點,下跌趨勢保持穩固

EUR/USD extends its week-long slide with trend aligned down across all timeframes and a string of broken levels converted to resistance; we sell rallies into EMA20 at 1.13967 while 1.14386 caps.

Hafizah Rina, Senior Trading Analyst
作者

Trading analyst covering macro, equities, and digital assets. Focused on systematic risk frameworks and disciplined entries.

歐元兌美元研磨至盤中低點,下跌趨勢保持穩固
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核心要点

  • Trend aligned down across 1H/4H/1D; no catalysts in the window to reverse the flow.
  • EUR/USD trades near the session low of 1.13477, extending a week-long slide of ~0.9%.
  • EMA20 at 1.13967 is the first offer zone; 1.14386 caps and invalidates on a close.

歐元兌美元給賣方沒有理由退場,持續深入數週前還是堅實需求區的領域。

歐元過去一週已下跌近0.9%,留下一系列曾經支撐位轉換為供應的蹤跡。今日該交易對在盤中低點1.134765附近,較日高1.13604下跌,消息面沒有任何中斷這種下跌趨勢。先前的1.15541、1.14799和1.14386水位在下跌過程中已全部突破,現在代表上方分層阻力。

從趨勢跟隨的角度來看,設置是毫不含糊的。三個時間框架都呈現向下趨勢,EMA20在1.13967,EMA50在1.14585,EMA200在1.15878,堆疊在價格上方形成幹淨的看跌序列。阻力位於1.14386、1.14799和1.15541,每一個都是該交易對已經放棄的先前樞紐點。波動性平靜,意味著這種走勢是有序的而非耗盡的,趨勢跟隨框架獎勵隨著流向而行動。RSI處於極度超賣狀態,這保證了新進場時需要規模紀律,但在持續的下跌趨勢中,超賣條件傾向於在反轉前向下解決。

我們傾向於做空並在1.13967至1.14386區間賣出反彈。日線收盤價高於1.14386會迫使重新評估並使看跌結構失效。

本內容僅供參考,不構成投資建議、推薦或買賣任何金融產品的要約。交易存在重大風險。過往表現不代表未來結果。

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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