日經指數守住69107支撐位 周線上升趨勢延續
The Nikkei is up over 7% on the week and trading above its full rising EMA stack; intraday dips toward the EMA20 at 67557 are buys while trend stays aligned across all timeframes.
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核心要点
- Nikkei surged over 7% in a week, breaking five resistance levels in sequence.
- Price holds above EMA20 at 67557 and EMA50 at 66465 with trend aligned up across 1H/4H/1D.
- Hard invalidation at 66465; while EMA50 holds, the bull trend structure remains intact.
日經指數目前在指數宇宙中運行著最潔淨的趨勢結構之一,且走勢並未尋求向上的許可。
期貨錄得約0.56%的溫和回調,盤中交易區間在69107.5至69662之間。周線圖景更加有意義:漲幅超過7%,依序突破五道連續的先前阻力位——這種階梯式上升是趨勢交易團隊追蹤以尋求延續的走勢,而非衰退。沒有單一宏觀頭條推動今日交易,這使得價格走勢更加建設性。買盤具有結構性,而非反應性。
技術面設置好得不能再好。價格遠高於EMA20的67557.39、EMA50的66465.30及EMA200的63856.53,三條均線完全確認了在1小時、4小時及日線時段運行的趨勢。RSI處於超買區域,波動性升高——在強勢對齐的趨勢中,這種組合應理解為動能信號而非反轉警告。當前水準的唯一阻力位在69689,先前的高位及自然近期吸引點。盤中回調一直淺幅,每次均在威脅到EMA20支撐位之前被吸收。
我們尋求買進67557至66465區間的回調。日線收盤低於EMA50的66465將使牛市結構失效,並迫使重新評估。
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