随着4小时图上的下跌趋势持续，澳元兑加元正向0.9750支撑位回落
AUD/CAD trades heavy below all three EMAs with the 4H trend pointing lower and RSI nearing oversold; we sell rallies into the 0.9803 zone while 0.9750 remains the next downside target.
Trading analyst covering macro, equities, and digital assets. Focused on systematic risk frameworks and disciplined entries.
核心要點
- 4H trend remains down and alignment is mixed, favouring continued selling pressure.
- AUD/CAD trades below EMA20 at 0.9803, EMA50 at 0.9841, and EMA200 at 0.9851.
- Daily close above 0.9803 invalidates the bear case; 0.97498 is the next key support.
澳元兑加元正逼近其波动区间的下沿，4小时图趋势线坚定向下，且价格远低于多重EMA均线结构下方。
该货币对当日仅上涨0.12%，盘中波动区间紧缩在0.97465至0.97716之间。 目前并无重大催化因素驱动行情，这纯粹是持仓压力所致——上周1.49%的跌幅奠定了主导基调，且此前多个支撑位现已转化为上方阻力。
从趋势跟踪角度看，走势清晰。价格位于20日EMA（0.98026）、50日EMA（0.9841）和200日EMA（0.9851）下方，上方整套EMA堆叠形成阻力。 趋势方向呈现分化，4小时图引领下行，而1小时图和日线图则处于中性状态——这种格局通常会朝着主导时间周期的方向发展。相对强弱指数（RSI）正逼近超卖区域，但尚未触发反转信号，且波动率处于正常水平，表明当前走势有序而非力竭。 此前市场倾向看跌，而盘面走势并未改变这一观点；下跌过程中所有关键水平均已被突破。
我们建议在0.98026阻力区逢高做空，目标位依次为0.97498和0.97221。若日线收盘价高于0.98026，则需暂停操作。
本内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议、推荐或买卖任何金融产品的要约。交易存在重大风险。过往表现不代表未来结果。
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.